Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000101 0.000119 0.000138 0.000160 0.000184 0.000209 0.000238
2024-12-22 0.000079 0.000103 0.000131 0.000165 0.000203 0.000246 0.000297
2024-12-29 0.000065 0.000092 0.000124 0.000164 0.000211 0.000265 0.000330
2025-01-05 0.000054 0.000083 0.000118 0.000164 0.000220 0.000286 0.000368
2025-01-12 0.000044 0.000073 0.000110 0.000159 0.000222 0.000296 0.000389
2025-01-19 0.000040 0.000071 0.000112 0.000168 0.000239 0.000326 0.000436
2025-01-26 0.000033 0.000063 0.000104 0.000163 0.000239 0.000334 0.000455
2025-02-02 0.000028 0.000058 0.000101 0.000163 0.000246 0.000349 0.000485
2025-02-09 0.000024 0.000053 0.000097 0.000161 0.000250 0.000361 0.000509
2025-02-16 0.000023 0.000052 0.000099 0.000168 0.000265 0.000388 0.000551
2025-02-23 0.000020 0.000049 0.000096 0.000169 0.000271 0.000403 0.000580
2025-03-02 0.000016 0.000044 0.000090 0.000164 0.000269 0.000407 0.000594
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000041 0.000088 0.000164 0.000276 0.000423 0.000625
2025-03-16 0.000011 0.000038 0.000085 0.000164 0.000282 0.000438 0.000655
2025-03-23 0.000010 0.000036 0.000084 0.000166 0.000290 0.000457 0.000688
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000032 0.000081 0.000165 0.000293 0.000468 0.000713
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000029 0.000076 0.000161 0.000293 0.000475 0.000732
2025-04-13 0.000006 0.000029 0.000079 0.000169 0.000309 0.000504 0.000780
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000026 0.000074 0.000164 0.000308 0.000509 0.000796
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000024 0.000072 0.000164 0.000312 0.000522 0.000823
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000022 0.000070 0.000163 0.000315 0.000533 0.000847
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000022 0.000072 0.000170 0.000330 0.000561 0.000895
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000021 0.000071 0.000171 0.000336 0.000576 0.000925